Trump’s Iran Deal: A Calamity for the US — and JD Vance

The State of It: USA

President Trump has made a deal with Iran. On Friday, Vice President JD Vance will attend the official signing in Geneva of a 14-point US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding that covers the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear ambitions, the lifting of sanctions, a $300bn reconstruction fund for Iran and a ceasefire.

The deal has gone down badly in the US, and with good reason. Gerry argues that it's a calamity for America and a betrayal of the Iranian people.

Could it also be the undoing of JD Vance? It looks like he's been set up as the fall guy in case this all goes wrong. That could scupper his presidential ambitions.

And where does it leave Israel? Donald Trump was Israel's ally but with this deal, has he abandoned them?


00:00 - Why The Iran Deal is a Calamity

00:37 - Breaking Down the 14-Point Peace Agreement

01:54 - The $300bn Reparations" Fund Explained

03:04 - "An Almighty Raspberry": The Republican Backlash

04:05 - Inside the G7 Victory Lap vs. American Reality

06:26 - A Disastrous Blow to America’s Global Prestige

07:17 - Broken Promises & Betrayal of the Iranian Protesters

09:18 - Reza Pahlavi Interview: A Missed Window of Opportunity

11:04 - A Seismic Rift in the US-Israel Relationship

14:26 - J.D. Vance: Master Architect or Ultimate Fall Guy?

16:41 - The Core Maga Position on "Forever Wars"

17:48 - Economic Silver Linings: Oil Prices, Inflation & Interest Rates

22:33 - How Trump’s Rivals Will Use This in the 2028 Primary

26:12 - Navigating the 60-Day Negotiation Window


Katy Balls, Washington editor and columnist at The Times and The Sunday Times

Gerard Baker, columnist at The Times and editor at large at The Wall Street Journal


Video editor: Harry Kitson

Executive producer: Molly Guinness


Picture: Getty Images.

Audio: Times Radio, Reuters.

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The State of It: USA is a weekly US politics podcast from The Times and The Sunday Times, offering agenda‑setting analysis of American power and its global impact. It promises frank, in‑depth conversations that cut through spin, conspiracy and partisanship to explain what is really happening inside the White House and beyond.

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